New German 7.5 GWp PV Record by End of 2011 – Total Exceeds 20.6 GWp

Germany’s newly installed PV capacity in 2011 is likely to have exceeded 7.5 GWp. According to today’s figures from the German Federal Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur – BNetzA), new solar capacity amounted 490 MWp in September, 660 MW in September, and a record 3,000 MWp in December.

If these figures are confirmed, Germany’s newly installed PV capacity for 2011 will have exceeded even the 2010 record of 7,377,678 MWp. The figure would also be more than twice as high as the government’s 2.5 to 3.5 GWp PV target corridor.

The latest figures lead to the following PV capacity table per 31 December 2011:

Year Month MWp MWp
       
2009   3,802  
       
End of 2009     9,914
       
  01/2010 222.247  
  02/2010 163.280  
  03/2010 331.378  
  04/2010 454.045  
  05/2010 573.176  
  06/2010 2,108.905  
  07/2010 663.064  
  08/2010 363.394  
  09/2010 654.368  
  10/2010 334.910  
  11/2010 365.448  
  12/2010 1,143.463  
2010   7,377.678  
       
End of 2010     17,291.678
       
  01/2011 266.138  
  02/2011 99.710  
  03/2011 147.356  
  04/2011 198.948  
  05/2011 370.739  
  06/2011 630.301  
  07/2011 571.793  
  08/2011 612.564  
  09/2011 459.668  
  10/2011 490.000*  
  11/2011 660.000*  
  12/2011 3,000.000*  
2011   7,507.217*  
       
Total 30.09.2011   20,648.895*
 
* Preliminary figures as released by BNetzA on 9 January 2012.

The Federal Nework Agency expects to release more detailed figures in March 2012.

As of 1 January 2012, the solar feed-in tariffs have been reduced by 15%.

The 4.15 GW from the fourth quarter of 2011 will count towards the next regular PV feed-in tariff reduction on 1 July 2012. Pursuant to Sec. 20a (5) of the amended 2012 Renewable Energy Sources Act, the newly installed capacity after 30 September 2011 and before May 2012 will be multiplied by a factor of 12 and divided by a factor of 7. The resulting figure will lead to the following reductions per 1 July 2012:

  1. > 3,500 MWp: 3.0%;
  2. > 4,500 MWp: 6.0%;
  3. > 5,500 MWp: 9.0%;
  4. > 6,500 MWp: 12.0%; 
  5. > 7,500 MWp: 15.0%.

Therefore, with the 4.15 GWp from October to December 2011, this leads to a calculated figure of 7.11 GWp (4.15 GWp x 12 / 7). The July 2012 reduction will therefore be at least 12%. However, as additional capacity will be installed between January and April, the July reduction is very likely to be 15%.

It remains to be seen whether the political debate will lead to a further or quicker reduction. 

Source: Federal Network Agency

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